Sunday, September 27, 2015

Last Minute Week 3 NFL DFS Advice: Defenses to Look At

Often people underestimate the defense when playing fantasy-daily or otherwise-and I think that's a mistake.  Just look at this year alone so far; the worst defense (Chicago) is averaging -0.5 points per game, while the best (Denver) is averaging 19-almost a 20 point swing.  How many times would 20 points have been the difference in you making or not making money?  Even with a middle of the pack type defense you're getting 7.5 points per game on Draft Kings, you'd be more than doubling that with Denver each week.  Adding 12 points to your total could literally mean the difference between winning hundreds or thousands and not winning at all.  So let's look at some strong defensive options for your Sunday DFS NFL play:

Denver Broncos
I mentioned them in the open, and I'm riding with them this week again.  They'll go to Detroit and face Matthew Stafford and the Lions.  With Stafford at less than 100%, and Denver tied for fourth in the league with 7 sacks through their first two games, as well as holding opposing QB's to a 45 QBR through the first two weeks, that's a pretty good recipe for a good scoring day for the Broncos' defense.

Carolina Panthers
The Panthers were already in my top 3 defenses even when I thought Brees might start.  He probably didn't partly because they have his number and Saints' brass knew his presence wasn't going to lead to a win.  Luke McCown isn't likely to fair much better.  Today should be a pretty one-sided affair in Carolina, in favor of the home team.

Seattle Seahawks
The only reason the Seahawks don't top my list, is because their ownership rate is nearly double that of the Broncos, and four times that of the Panthers.  Still, with superstar safety Kam Chancellor set to make his return to a home game against the Bears without their starting QB or top WR, and whom many think Forte might also take it a bit easier today, the Seahawks are certainly primed to play well today.  Unfortunately, they'll be owned by about 20% of owners, so I'm not sure they're the best play, although they very well may be the highest scoring.

That's what my top defensive picks look like today, in week 3 of the NFL for daily fantasy owners.  Stay tuned all week for insights, stats, breakdowns, and more!

No comments:

Post a Comment