Thursday, April 16, 2015

DFS: Daily Sports Advice April 16, 2015

Today we get our first real taste of an MLB only DFS day of the season, as the NBA wrapped up their regular season last night and don’t start the first round of the playoffs until Saturday.  Today, I’ll give you a few players you might want to add, a few you might want to avoid, and we’ll go over my advice from yesterday.
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Can’t Miss Batter: Adam Lind
Hitting .345 this season already, Lind has an extensive and successful history against John Lackey, having seen him in 28 at-bats throughout their careers, and hit safely in 15 of them for a whopping .536 batting average.  That includes 6 doubles and 6 RBI’s.
Pitcher to add: Dillon Gee
Cole Hamels is the obvious choice here, and you wouldn’t be wrong to take him, his numbers against the Nationals’ batters are quite good.  But this isn’t about the most obvious choice so I’m bringing you Dillon Gee, a much less expensive add.  Playing Gee instead of Hamels will save you 2-3,000 on your cap, and you aren’t giving up a lot.  Gee has seen the batters he’s going against today a total of 87 times, and they’ve hit safely in just 19 of those at-bats, with just 1 homerun and 4 RBI.  That’s just a .218 batting average against him, and then there’s the 13 strikeouts…Gee is a solid play today.
Worth A Look: OF Marcell Ozuna
I kinda like Ozuna today.  He hasn’t played particularly well this season thus far (.214 average) but the matchup vs. Gee looks good for him, given his 5 for 10 lifetime record against him.  This is the type of matchup that might just help Ozuna find his bat again.  While I like Gee overall today, Ozuna could be the one bright spot in the Marlins lineup.
Stay Away From These Guys
Here I’m going to bring you a few big names that you should stay away from today.
1B Paul Goldschmidt
Goldschmidt is hitting .344 with 3 homeruns this season, so he’ll be a tempting pickup today, but especially as the most expensive first baseman in most leagues today he’s not a great play.  Lifetime against Madison Bumgarner he’s 5 of 28 for a .179 batting average, and he’s been struck out 7 times by the lefty.  I wouldn’t spend for him today.
OF Jose Bautista
Bautista has been a big name in power hitting over the past few years, but he’s started slow this season, batting just .172 with 2 homeruns.  While the power is still there, the contact just isn’t, and today isn’t the most likely day for him to fix that, as he’s just 2 of 21 lifetime against Chris Archer, Tampa’s projected starter today.
ANY Washington Batter
Washington batters have not fared well against Cole Hamels.  Over the course of his career, the batters on their roster have hit just .202 against him in 406 appearances, striking out 22 more times (104) than hits (82), and walking just 40 times.  Hamels is due for a good day today, which is not good news for the batters in Nationals uniforms.  Or anyone who plays them today.
Yesterday’s Advice:
Yesterday I told you to go with Greg Monroe and Reggie Jackson of the Pistons.  Reggie Jackson exploded for 24 points, 11 assists, 4 rebounds, and 3 steals in a 52 fantasy point effort on DraftKings boards and 49.3 points on FanDuel.  His teammate Greg Monroe had a quieter game, with 10 points, 2 boards, 1 assist an 4 steals, for a total of 21.5 points in DraftKings leagues and 20.9 in FanDuel leagues.

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