Monday, April 20, 2015

DFS Daily Sports Advice: April 20 MLB Version

Today in the majors there are 8 games being played, 7 of them at night and one has already started.  We’ll focus on the 7 games at night in this article, with players to pick up, and players to leave alone.  Without further ado…
Can’t Miss Batter
My can’t miss batter today has to be OF Matt Kemp, playing in the always hitter friendly Coors Field against Jorge De La Rosa, pitching in his first outing of the year for the Rockies, coming off a groin injury.  De La Rosa is a pitcher Kemp has seen a lot throughout his career, and played fairly well against.  He’s 15-39 against him with 4 doubles, a triple, 3 homers, and 12 RBI.  He’s also batting .340 on the season.  He’s a lock to perform tonight, in my opinion.
Back up can’t miss batters: Miguel Cabrera, Jose Altuve, and Jose Iglesias
Pitcher to Pick Up
Tonight there are a few pitchers taking the mound that catch my eye.  Arietta, and Bauer are likely to have good nights, but the guy I’m looking at for something of a value pick behind those two is Edison Volquez.  He’s got a 2.3 ERA on the season so far, but more importantly he’s got 12 strikeouts (6 per start) and worked a total of 15.2 innings over those two games.  In fan duel leagues, each IP is a point, the same as a strikeout.  Even if he doesn’t get the win (and I project him to, he’s coming off KC’s first loss and wants to redeem himself against a poor Minnesota lineup that has batted just .171 against him in the past) we’re talking a double digit point performance in FD leagues.
Players to AvoidI’m gonna go ahead and suggest you avoid Royals Salvador Perez (catcher) and Lorenzo Cain (OF).  Perez is batting .362 with 3 homers this year, and looks like a great option at catcher most of the time, but in 12 at bats against Kyle Gibson in the past, he’s managed just 1 hit, yet struck out 4 times.  Cain is currently carrying a .413 batting average with two home runs, but is just 1-10 in past plate appearances against Gibson.
Now let’s go through yesteday’s advice.
Trout went 0-4, again, this process isn’t perfect.  He’s always an expensive buy, so it’s always a lot of risk and reward with his DFS owners.
Kazmir took a tough loss after throwing 7.1 innings, striking out 5, and giving up just two earned runs.
Brandon McCarthy picked up a win after throwing six shutout innings and striking out 6 batters.
Avoid
Yasiel Puig didn’t play last night, looks like he might have a hamstring injury of some sort.
George Springer went 1-3 with a walk and a run. Not as bad as I’d thought.

Now...go win some money!!!!

1 comment:

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