First let me open up by saying that I don't do "stacks" like many DFS advisers. At least not in the sense of the word like you might with a baseball lineup. See in baseball, players build off one another. If one guy hits a double it's just a double, but if the guy before him hit a double as well, then it's a double with an RBI. If you have both those guys, you've got 2 doubles, a run, and an RBI on those two hits. "Stacking" can be beneficial in this way.
In football however, players DO NOT build off one another in this way. While there are certainly some symbiotic relationships (QB to WR) that work well, overall there are a certain amount of plays, and if you're throwing the ball into the end zone, you can't be running it in. Myself, I look for a QB-WR or QB-TE connection against a poor defense to build off of, then add in running backs facing poor rush defenses, (not from the same team as the QB-Receiver combo), then tend to add a dominant receiver, a few value players, and my defense (not the defense my main QB-receiver combo is facing).
I play primarily on Draft Kings these days, just a personal preference over Fan Duel. My advice will primarily be geared around DK lineups, scoring, and costs. At some point I'll go back over to Fan Duel, but not now anyway. I'll be basing my advice around these "building blocks", giving "lock" plays, "value" plays, and a few guys to sprinkle in around them. Week 3 in the NFL stacks up like this: So without further ado, here are my picks for week three in the NFL:
Building Blocks
Value
This week in the NFL I think I've got a great QB-WR combo to build around that you can save some money, and fill in some superstars into the empty slots. Always helps when you're not spending your big money on the two main guys you're building around I find. Here's my value lineup building blocks:
QB Ryan Tannehill
WR Jarvis Landry
Miami is home to a top ten passing attack this year, built around the connection between 4th year QB Tannehill and Landry, a receiver in his sophomore season, both trying to make their mark on the league, and doing fairly well working together. Thus far this season, Landry has been targeted 22 times and caught 16 of them. While he hasn't yet found the end zone, he's pulled in 163 yards, and eclipsed 100 in his second game this season. Meanwhile, the Bills have given up the second most yards through the air in the league-and that's in two games in windy Buffalo. This weekend, the Dolphins will face the Bills in Miami, where the weather may be a bit better and the opposing team's QB is sure to be more comfortable on his own home turf. Look for Tannehill and Landry to put up big numbers this week, especially given their respective costs of 6700 and 6400.
Lock
This week's lock for building blocks is easy:
WR Julian Edelman 7000
TE Rob Gronkowski 7400
Now, while the price on these three is up there a bit, and the three alone will eat up more than 40% of your available cap space, it should be well worth it. Brady has been on a tear in the opening two games, and Jacksonville-while improved-doesn't exactly have an impenetrable, stalwart defense, giving up 260 a game through the air. Their rushing defense is fairly good however, and so I expect the Patriots to exploit their weaknesses-as is the Patriot way-by attacking them through the air. I'd also expect Edelman and Gronk to get the bulk of the targets-possibly as many as 35-40 between the two of them. They should be easy plays this week.
Extras
Big Money
RB: Eddie Lacy As for the big money guys this week, I'm going to go with RB Eddie Lacy (presuming he plays) against a KC defense that's ranking near the bottom of the league this year vs. the run. Lacy will cost you $7,200, but should produce if he's playing.
WR: Antonio Brown I've gotta go with Brown on this one. He's going up against the Rams, who have let Jermaine Kearse go for 8 catches and 76 yards on them, then Jordan Reed of the Redskins put up 6 for 82 the next week, in a game that saw the running backs of Washington tear into the Rams for 182 and 2 touchdowns on the ground. I can only imagine the abuse Brown will inflict on them
Value
RB: Devonta Freeman Tevin Coleman went down last week, and Freeman picked up where he left off, carrying the ball 12 times for 25 yards and one touchdown. Look for Freeman to get the bulk of the carries in Coleman's absence, perhaps all of them really.
WR: Dante Moncrief-Luck and the Colts have started the year poorly, with their offense sputtering behind the young QB, still struggling to take his place amongst the top talents in the league. In week 3 however, they go to Tennessee, where they'll be facing a team that hasn't beaten them in years. Weather should be friendly, and Luck should be looking downfield, looking to establish this offense against an old, familiar foe. Look for Moncrief to benefit a great deal from Luck's throws.
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