Buffalo at Jacksonville 9:30 a.m.
LeSean McCoy, RB, Bills
The Jaguars are the 5th worst team in the league when it comes to giving up points to opposing running backs, and McCoy ran hard and fast last week, coming off an injury that had held him out a few weeks early this season. I think he builds off that 90 yard, 1 touchdown performance, runs it about 20 times for 100 yards and a score.
Tampa Bay at Washington 1:00 p.m.
Jamison Crowder, WR, Washington
Crowder isn't a guy you're going to get a lot of points from, but at $3,700 you're really only looking to get about 12 points. That translates to 5 catches for 70 yards. I think that's a completely reasonable expectation for Crowder, and if he throws in a touchdown you're extra happy. With DeSean Jackson continuing to be sidelined by a nagging hamstring injury, Crowder should get the targets to more than justify his cost.
Atlanta at Tennessee 1:00 p.m. Devonta Freeman, RB, Falcons
It seems to me that Freeman is flying just a bit under the radar this weekend. I've heard a few people warn about picking him up vs. a stingy Tennessee run defense, but I think that's misleading. While the Titans have allowed the third fewest fantasy points per game to running backs thus far, they've faced very few good running teams as well. When they have, they gave up 86 yards and two touchdowns to an aging Frank Gore, 76 yards on the ground to Tyrod Taylor, and finally 113 yards and a touchdown to Lamar Miller, giving him his first real breakout performance of the year. If Miller can do it, Freeman definitely can do it. People who think the Titans defense might stop Freeman, forget his 153 yards against the Redskins, who at the time were the top defense vs. the running back and with that game were knocked out of the top 5. Ride Freeman to another fantasy win this weekend.
New Orleans at Indianapolis 1:00 p.m.
Anyone involved in either team's passing game.
The Saints are giving up the second most points to opposing team's QB's while the Colts are giving up the third most points to opposing team's WR's. This tells us all one thing: it's gonna be a high scoring, lots of passing game. While the Colts' d-backs are a bit better, as evidenced by their middle of the pack rank in fantasy points vs. the QB (usually a signifier of interceptions, correct signifier here, given that the Colts have 6 of vs. the Saints' 2) both QB's and all three "big name" receivers (Moncrief, Hilton, and Snead) going into this game are solid plays.
Minnesota at Detroit 1:00 p.m.
Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings
The Vikings' defense is a bit underrated. I expect them to keep the Lions' offense off the field, and the coaching staff to capitalize on that by pounding the ball with Peterson as often as possible. Peterson already got the Lions for 134 yards earlier in the season. Look for him to duplicate that performance, and perhaps add a touchdown in this week for more of a 20-25 point fantasy game.
Martavis Bryant, WR, Pittsburgh
Bryant is a popular name this week among NFL analysts and fantasy gurus, and with good reason. After Landry Jones took over the Steelers' offense last week, Bryant appeared to hit a real groove, finishing his first game back with 6 catches on 8 targets for 137 yards and two touchdowns. Whether it's Jones or Roethlisberger makes an unexpected comeback, look for Bryant to build off that performance against a weak Kansas City pass defense currently giving up the most points per game to opposing wideouts.
Cleveland at St. Louis 1:00 p.m.
Todd Gurley, RB, St. Louis
Gurley, like Bryant before this is a popular name this week, and again it's with good reason. The Browns have made pretty much every running back they've faced this year look like Jim Brown, giving up yards in bunches and resulting in them being the 4th worst team in the league when it comes to giving up fantasy points in DK leagues to the opposing running back. Gurley's been averaging about 130 yards per game, while the Browns have been giving up about 130 yards per game. Those two numbers could very well end in Gurley rushing for 200 yards this game.
Houston at Miami 1:00 p.m.
DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston
Hopkins has been the best receiver in the league this season, and the Dolphins give up the 12th most fantasy points per game to the opposing team's wide receivers this season. I think Hoyer and Hopkins are a great sneaky stack play this week, and could very well lead the right teams to wins in GPP, so I'm suggesting taking Hopkins.
NY Jets at New England 1:00 p.m.
Chris Ivory, RB, New York Jets
The Patriots come into this game 22nd in the league against the running back, giving up 113 yards per game on the ground despite having faced no real talent at the running back spot, and no real "running teams" this season. The Jets are a big, strong running team who are going to come into this game looking to physically punish and pound a physically weaker, more stylish/finesse type team in the Patriots. Ivory should get a ton of touches this week, especially with backup Bilal Powell reportedly out. Look for him to produce against their division rival, and perhaps lead the Jets to handing the Patriots their first loss of the year.
Oakland at San Diego 4:05 p.m.
Phillip Rivers, QB, Chargers
The Raiders are the worst team in the league against the opposing team's tight end, and the Chargers might have the best pair of tight ends in the league in terms of physical talent, when it comes to Ladarius Green and Antonio Gates. There have been a lot of rumors about Gates' MCL, but I just don't buy it. I think Gates comes into this game raging, putting up big numbers against an old in division foe playing particularly poorly against his position. I'm not sure he has the two touchdowns he had last week, but I don't think a 90-110 yard performance with 1 touchdown is out of the question. I don't think a 200 yard, 3 touchdown performance is out of the question either. High floor, high ceiling here. Play Gates.
Dallas at NY Giants 4:25 p.m.
Jason Witten, TE, Dallas
The Giants are 2nd worst in the league in surrendering points to opposing team's tight ends, at 18.9 per game, including a game earlier in the season against the Cowboys themselves in which they gave up 60 yards and 2 touchdowns to Witten himself, good for 26 points. Witten continues to remain the Cowboys' only real offensive weapon, so look for him to be heavily involved in the passing game this weekend.
Philadelphia at Carolina 8:30 p.m.
Don't play anyone from this game!
I seriously just can't settle on one single player to play from this game. A lot of people are saying Cam Newton is a great play here, but I just don't see it. If you look back to last season, you'll see Chip Kelly had Cam pretty well figured out, with his defense picking Newton off 3 times, and holding him to just 6 yards on the ground. They throw a spy or two on him, cover the heck out of Olsen, and Cam has very few reasonable options. I think the same happens here, and this is an ugly game full of turnovers from both teams, with someone grinding out an ugly win. Don't get involved in this for fantasy purposes though, there's just no solid picks.
Baltimore at Arizona 8:30 p.m. (Monday)
Carson Palmer and his receivers, Arizona
This is such an obvious play, I also picked them as my "trap play of the week" earlier this week. Still, this is one of those rare instances where the "trap play" is such a good play I can't not suggest playing them as well. Run em in cash games where you're looking for a high floor, but not in GPP's as everyone will own them and I don't see explosive point totals out of them.
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